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A MyDD blogger has posted on his his fear that Democrats may not win the additional 15-20 seats they need to do anything in the House or even lose seats in the upcoming 2008 general election. Rep. John Yarmuth (D - KY / San Francisco) is one of the lawmakers this blogger thinks is in danger, and rightfully so considering Anne Northup’s early positioning in polls:
On how favorably respondents viewed Northup and Yarmuth:
57 percent had a favorable view of Northup, with 38 percent strongly favorable
54 percent had a favorable view of Yarmuth, with 25 percent strongly favorableIf the election between the two were held today, Yarmuth would have a 49 percent to 47 percent advantage over Northup. While that’s within the margin of error, as Carmack noted, it’s nearly identical to the 51 to 48 percent (with 1 percent going to an independent candidate) results from the 2006 election in which Yarmuth unseated Northup.
When asked which was better at solving local problems and bringing projects back to Louisville, Carmack said 50 percent said Northup was best and 34 percent said Yarmuth was best.
The blogger’s fears seem to have been generated most recently by a Rasmussen poll showing Democrats clinging to life in the House in generic Congressional ballots.
With Republicans proving to be on the right side of the Iraq argument and, as the blogger points out, Americans blaming Congress more than the President for economic troubles, plus the potential high Republican turnout producing Hillary Clinton Democrat presidential nomination, there are definitely some House Democrats in grave danger:
Our majority is held because of certain Democrats’ ability to win Republicans leaning seats in the 2006 election. These people cannot afford to have any higher Republican turnout or a sag in Democratic turnout if they are going to hold onto their seats. What is even worse for Democrats is that a new poll says that Americans are blaming Congress for the economic troubles more than Bush. http://nationaljournal.com/polltrack/
Yarmuth has to be the most poorly positioned Democrat in the United States, in all seriousness. Northup has the potential to match him dollar for dollar in fundraising, and she’s better respected and liked better than Yarmuth.
Wait until more comes out on the tube about his record. His rap sheet isn’t long, but it is colorful, and quite illustrative of his uber-liberal worldview which just doesn’t sit well with most Louisvillians. Even a lot of union members, who Yarmuth courts perhaps more than anyone else, are turned off by his close affiliation with charity abortion provider Planned Parenthood. John McCain and Anne Northup both have stellar pro-life records which, as usual for Northup, is going to pull a lot of Democrats to her side.
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